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Category Archives: Uncategorized
Expensive talk on inclusive capitalism
On 27 May, Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England, gave a speech on the topic of ‘inclusive capitalism’ at a conference carrying the same name. I can understand why he made it. Once invited, there are risks to … Continue reading
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Slow-moving changes in equilibrium real rates could be accommodated with periodic inflation target reviews by an independent 3rd party
Many, for different reasons, have suggested that the rate at which central bank policy rates might settle will be significantly lower than the rate that prevailed on average in the pre-financial crisis period. In his parting speech as Deputy Governor … Continue reading
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Raising the inflation target: great idea, but not now.
In a recent paper, Paul Krugman, echoing a suggestion made by Olivier Blanchard, makes a compelling case for raising the inflation target in the US and other Western economies, to avoid the difficulties that would come with another episode at the … Continue reading
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Did economics fail? Reflecting on the Krugman and Wren-Lewis responses
Paul Krugman and Simon Wren Lewis give my post on the unresolved nature of state of the art macro a good kicking. Paul characterises me as saying that macro has nothing useful to say, and that justifies doing nothing about … Continue reading
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Did economics fail?
Paul Krugman says that economics had the answer to how to respond to the crisis. It’s just that policy failed to follow the prescription. The textbook said that private demand was deficient, and that what we needed was more public … Continue reading
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The Bank of England isn’t institutionally doveish
Chris Giles wrote that the Bank of England was ‘institutionally doveish’, recalling when the London Metropolitan Police was labelled as ‘institutionally racist’. I don’t agree, despite that Chris’ article pre-empted the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee leaving interest rates … Continue reading
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Don’t underestimate the pivotal and persistent role of the banking crisis
Paul Krugman responds to Martin Wolf and John Cochrane arguing for narrow banking [allowing banks simply to take our cash and invest in risk free securities] in part by commenting that the banking crisis came and went quickly, and that … Continue reading
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If the central bank rate falls, does inflation rise or fall? The limits of verbal reasoning.
Noah Smith and Ryan Avent got his debate going again, a conversation whose last incarnation was an exchange between Steve Williamson and Paul Krugman, essentially, sparked by Steve asserting that inflation was too low because Fed rates were too low. … Continue reading
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If I was devising a panics and bubbles course…
In a recent FT article, Claire Jones reported on the decision by Manchester University to reject a proposal for a course on ‘Panics and bubbles’, the initiative of the Manchester students’ pressure group ‘Post Crash Economics‘ and sympathetic academics. On … Continue reading
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The flaws in Osborne’s ‘I told you so’ speech in Washington
UK Finance Minister George Osborne’s Washington ‘I told you so’ speech has prompted a thorough going over of the issue of what the recovery in the UK does or does not prove regarding the Coalition’s ‘austerity’ fiscal policy, by Chris … Continue reading
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