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Monthly Archives: July 2020
Terms of reference for a new Centre for Economics and Epidemiology
In a previous post [scroll down!], I called for the UK [and other countries] to set up new, local centres for Economics and Epidemiology. This is because the economic-epidemiological outlooks are impoverished by the two disciplines – at least at … Continue reading
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We need a new UK Centre for Epidemiology and Economics
The UK covid19 crisis kicked off with forecasts of the epidemic with and without mitigation measures like lockdowns. They were ultimately alarming enough to persuade the government to lockdown. The forecasts joined epidemiological insights with social science – evidence on … Continue reading
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Vouchers: with poor timing, perhaps the worst kind of counter-covid recession policy
I am crystallizing my concern about retail vouchers, part of Rishi Sunak’s latest package [and recommended by others, including one of my affilliations/clients, Resolution Foundation], and mostly thanks to a Jason Furman tweet. Sunak has seen his challenge as wanting … Continue reading
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Make the BoE work for their oak panelled offices and get them to identify the missing stimulus needed
The Bank of England is, arguably, at the end of the road as far as currently agreed methods of monetary stimulus are concerned. Interest rates are at their effective floor – in the UK, as understood by the Monetary Policy … Continue reading
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Why did we release lockdown too early? Perhaps because we started too late.
It has been much commented on that the UK entered its lockdown to combat covid19 too late. This had the consequence of allowing the virus to gain more of a foothold, generating an increasing flow of infections that quickly swamped … Continue reading
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Lockdowns and lockdown releases are not going to be ‘fair’
A common passtime during the lockdown, or during phases of its release was to point out some activity that has been permitted and compare it to another one that has not. How ridiculous, we all laughed, demonically! What incompetence the … Continue reading
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