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Monthly Archives: June 2017
The flaw in the argument central banks have used to justify the rates first, QE later exit plan
Two posts ago, I mentioned that the basic plan central banks had for withdrawing stimulus was to go first with rates, and then scale back QE. That plan was based on wanting to avoid the risk that, if another recession … Continue reading
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Published instrument plans: the Financial Policy Committee do what the MPC dare not
The Bank of England published its Financial Stability Report, and, along with it the decision of its Financial Policy Committee to raise the counter-cyclical capital buffer from 0 to 0.5%. Interestingly, there is also an announced plan to raise this … Continue reading
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Balance sheet shrinkage: so soon?
The original plan for balance sheet shrinkage, articulated by Bernanke in the States, and Mervyn King in the UK, was organised around the idea of spending as small an amount of time as possible using QE as the marginal tool … Continue reading
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Yellen on raising the inflation target
It was very surprising to hear Janet Yellen hint in public that there was a good case for raising the inflation target. The economic logic of doing just that is very sound: if we think that equilibrium real interest rates … Continue reading
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Disaster economics
The UK is rightly transfixed with the unfolding story of the catastrophic fire at Grenfell Tower in Kensington, London, which at the time of writing had led to 30 confirmed deaths. This follows – as the Queen pointed out in … Continue reading
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There is a capitalist logic to requisitioning empty property near a disaster
‘Requisition houses? Communism!’ That is the impulse of some to respond to Jeremy Corbyn’s offhand suggestion that empty properties of ‘the rich’ be requisitioned for use rehousing those made homeless by disasters like the fire at Grenfell Tower. But there … Continue reading
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Brief history of time spent inflation targeting
This pulls together tweets that I sent on the history of inflation targeting, having read this article in the New York Times. Warning: this is a highly subjective, UK-centric and stream-of-consciousness, and still very brief ‘history’. A key thing to … Continue reading
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More on Bitcoin and the conditions for a takeover of fiat money
Something I did not stress about the likelihood of a crypto-currency takeover in my Alphaville post that I should have done, and which cropped up in a Twitter exchange with Joe Weisenthal, relates to the fact that in theory, and … Continue reading
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Alphaville post on implications of a Bitcoin takeover, or of central banks trying to head one off
In keeping with the modern custom of bombarding readers with a product using every conceivable media possible, multiple times, here is a link to my post on this.
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There is a magic money tree
Well, not really: that was click-bait. But bear with me. The unprecedented increase in the size of central bank balance sheets since before the great financial crisis is unlikely to be entirely reversed. And that means a one-off bit … Continue reading
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