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Category Archives: Uncategorized
Some desirable transparency housekeeping for the MPC’s forecast
The MPC will shortly publish its August inflation forecast, and its evaluation of the policy of ‘forward guidance’, commissioned back in March by the Treasury (an action I previously noted was tantamount to saying ‘how about looser monetary policy, folks?). … Continue reading
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A sceptic’s view of QE, an initially irrational policy, the controversies over which were whitewashed
I am, and always have been, dubious about the usefulness of QE, and regret the process by which the Bank and the MPC decided to embark on it, and gave overly confident accounts of how it worked and its impact. … Continue reading
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Matthew Hancock’s ‘duty’
Recently Conservative minister Matthew Hancock declared that UK companies had a ‘duty’ to give preferential treatment to British workers applying for jobs in competition with foreign applicants. Here are a few reasons why it was an astonishingly ill judged thing … Continue reading
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Economist ‘free exchange’ blog post on forward guidance
Here’s a link; it goes over ground in a previous post, but more lucidly, after the expert input of The Economist‘s Britain editor Richard Davies.
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The row over bank capital and Nationwide
Recently Nationwide has complained to the Treasury that its ability to lend is being threatened by the Prudential Regulatory Authority’s insistence on it raising more equity capital. Vince Cable took the unfathomable step of coining the phrase ‘capital Taliban’ to … Continue reading
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Response to Simon Wren Lewis: the output gap and inflation, necessity for a fiscal stimulus, and all that
Simon was very kind to dignify my blog post on why there should be no more fiscal stimulus with a response. I don’t have much to add: Simon inhabits (is in fact a far more senior participant in) the same … Continue reading
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Deft footwork by the hawks, and the subtleties of forward guidance when the causes of yield movements are unknown
Following the publication of the minutes of the MPC meeting on 3rd/4th July, I think a tweak is necessary to my reading of the press statement accompanying the decision. The minutes suggest the possibility that the tightening in the short … Continue reading
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