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Category Archives: Uncategorized
We should have all copied the Swedish debt management office
I heard an interesting tale during my Riksbank visit, from Karolina Ekholm, Deputy Governor. She explained to me that in the immediate aftermath of the crisis, the Swedish debt management office were OVER-issuing government debt [ie selling more than they … Continue reading
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Debt-ceiling fights destroy money, but strengthen monetary policy
In this post I explained why I thought that the fight over the debt ceiling acted like a monetary contraction (as well as, ironically for the Tea Party, acting like a wealth tax). The argument, made by others too, is … Continue reading
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In defence of panning Forward Guidance
Simon Wren Lewis writes ‘in defence of forward guidance‘. He scolds Chris Giles, myself and others for ‘panning’ the Bank of England, for fear that it might retreat away from this bold experiment back into its natural, conservative, and insular … Continue reading
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Either Forward Guidance IS a change in the reaction function, OR it’s misleading and empty
MPC have stressed that their version of Forward Guidance, unlike the original Woodfordian policy to which the term normally refers, is quite different. Unlike the Woodfordian policy, the Bank of England are not communicating that rates would be lower for … Continue reading
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The speech Mark Carney should have given but didn’t
Folks. I found myself in a tricky position when I arrived. The bosses in Whitehall were really taken with this thing about keeping interest rates lower for longer, and, frankly, since there was no way they could loosen fiscal policy, … Continue reading
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A recap on the Forward (or Fudged) Guidance communications fiasco
On Friday, Bank of England Chief Economist Spencer Dale is set to respond to twitter questions posted to #AskBoE. This seems like a useful time to recap on previous posts on the fiasco, as I see it, surrounding the launch … Continue reading
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There’s no war now. Pragmatic microfoundationists and an empirical macro that uses minimal theory has taken over.
Simon Wren Lewis’ latest post on Mainlymacro rails against what he sees as an overemphasis on microfoundations in macro models. Paul Krugman picked up this post, and it was reblogged and retweeted by Brad DeLong and probably others, referring to … Continue reading
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