Monthly Archives: November 2014

Haldane on cutting the umbillical research cord

A quick reaction to Andrew Haldane’s latest speech, released this morning.  After a great survey of the literature on behavioural econ and finance, and economic psychology, he says: “The Bank is about to embark on what will be, in the … Continue reading

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On Neo Fisherianism and adaptive learning.

There is continuing debate on the blogosphere about whether, contrary to common monetary economics parlance, interest rates are not low because inflation is low, but low interest rates are actually causing low inflation, with more contributions from John Cochrane, Noah … Continue reading

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Why no loosening, if conditions mean a greater, below-target deviation?

A quick Bank of England Inflation Report Press Conference Post Mortem. The headline seems to be that MPC is forecasting a larger, protracted deviation of CPI inflation below the 2 per cent target.  That is despite some softening in the … Continue reading

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Helicopter drops: A dare from Turner

Adair Turner’s FT piece urges the central bank/government to finance future debt with helicopter money.  Leaving aside the merits of helicopter money, I found his argumentation unusual.  It’s a piece worth taking seriously, because one presumes there must be a … Continue reading

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Northern SWF would leave us with a shale immitation of our state

This converts a tweet-rant [trant?] into a quick post. I’m against George Osborne’s reported proposal for a Northern Sovereign Wealth Fund to ring-fence public proceeds from developing shale gas reserves.  Or, in fact, against any localised sovereign wealth fund for … Continue reading

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Horizons, symmetry, Kocherlakota and Wren-Lewis

This is prompted by SWL’s mainlymacro post on Kocherlakota’s comments about the Fed’s objectives. Kocherlakota and Simon want clarification that the target is symmetric. Simon suspects that the asymmetry in the ECB’s objective implied by the words ‘close to but … Continue reading

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Well or badly measured, falling Eurozone inflation is bad news.

John Kay reminds us in his latest FT column that inflation is a statistical chimera. From time to time, new things are invented or desired, and old things no longer bought, and all the time what we buy gets improved. … Continue reading

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